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Australia, Scotland and rain: how England can get out of the T20 World Cup in the group stage | cricket news

A failure, a defeat to your fiercest rivals and now your T20 World Cup destiny firmly in their hands – behold an England cricket nightmare from which they are desperate to wake up.

Unfortunately for England fans, even if their team wakes up, dusts itself off and gets going, they resign themselves to the harsh reality that it could be for nothing.

Add to that the backdrop of a recent calamity at the 50-over World Cup, plus rumors of an improvement to come without any real action, and it’s easy to see why Jos Buttler’s side are under real pressure.

So how bleak are the prospects for England and how could rivals Australia and old enemies Scotland deliver the most powerful blow to keep the defending champions out of the Super 8s? We’ll see…

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Nasser Hussain and Michael Atherton look at what England’s T20 World Cup hopes look like following their defeat to Australia.

The grimmest scenario: Australia and Scotland know the equation

Assuming Australia beat Namibia and go into their final match against Scotland in first place with six points, there is a world in which both sides know the exact score needed to advance and leave England in the dust of Group B.

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Highlights from Barbados as England suffered a 36-run defeat to Australia and remained winless in the T20 World Cup.

This scenario also assumes that England have beaten Oman and Namibia and will see the final group match between Australia and Scotland on June 16 to decide their fate, with five points alongside Scotland.

Scotland gave a real boost to the potential of this scenario with their seven-wicket thrashing of Oman, meaning their net run rate is significantly better than England’s with only their match against the Aussies left to play, but more on that later. forward.

Group B: Remaining T20 World Cup matches, all live on Sky Sports

  • Australia vs Namibia – Wednesday, June 12 (01:30 a.m.)
  • England vs Oman – Thursday, June 13 (8:00 p.m.)
  • Namibia vs England – Saturday, June 15 (6:00 p.m.)
  • Australia vs Scotland – Sunday, June 16 (01:30 a.m.)

Obviously, Australia and Scotland will play this game like any other and look to win, but it’s fair to say that if they can come together to bring about the demise of their rival, Australian and Scottish fans will be eternally grateful.

So to be clear:

  • Australia beat Scotland: Australia moves to first place and second place will be decided by net run rate
  • Scotland beat Australia: if Australia beat Namibia, they will pass Scotland

It’s not pleasant reading, is it?

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Highlights from Barbados, where Scotland’s George Munsey and Michael Jones impressed against England before their T20 World Cup clash faded away.

It’s time for the big hitters: Net rate rise to catch up with Scots

Now, let’s move on to that net run rate. The added element to the above scenario is that, in their last two group matches against Oman and Namibia, England will have to score and score big as well as get wins.

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Mark Wood thought he had dismissed Scotland’s George Munsey, but a no-ball denied him England’s first wicket of the day.

Scotland have a much higher net performance rating than England at the moment (Buttler’s team currently have the worst net performance rating in Group B) and that could be the deciding element if they draw with Scotland on five points and Scotland also lose against Australia.

Net run rate is just a quick equation: the opponent’s run rate is subtracted from the other team’s run rate. Run rate is the average number of runs scored by a team in an inning.

Group B: Current classification

Equipment Juice Net run rate Points
Scotland 3 2,164 5
Australia 2 1,875 4
Namibia 2 -0.309 2
England 2 -1.8 1
Oman 3 -1,613 0

So to match Scotland’s net run rate, the likes of Phil Salt, Buttler, Jonny Bairstow and Harry Brook will have to find boundaries to be in contention alongside the Scots.

I don’t want to be cliché, but the white-ball team will have to implement some of that enthusiastic attacking play that Ben Stokes’ red-ball team has become known for and then some.

They might as well play like the 2022 white-ball team when they won it all – easier said than done!

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Nasser Hussain and Michael Atherton reflect on England’s T20 World Cup loss to Australia, and how the decision to bowl Will Jacks in the powerplay backfired.

When it rains, it pours: there is no room for landslides

English cricket and rain are often in conflict, but for the rest of this group stage they must put aside their differences and keep the sun shining.

If any of England’s matches against Oman and Namibia fail, their T20 World Cup campaign will be over and they will return home early.

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Jos Buttler was disappointed that England’s first match of the T20 World Cup was abandoned but felt they would have chased down Scotland’s score.

On top of that, if Australia and Scotland fail, they both get a point and leave England looking in third place and out of the Super 8s.

Basically, they need bright sunshine in Antigua and St. Lucia for the foreseeable future. Normally, this would be a given in the West Indies, but it is rainy season.

It would be England’s peak for rain to knock them out of a World Cup, wouldn’t it?

Watch England take on Oman on Thursday 13 June from 7.30pm, first ball at 8pm, live on Sky Sports.

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